Download e-book for kindle: Advanced Commodity Trading Techniques by J.D. Hamon

By J.D. Hamon

ISBN-10: 0930233069

ISBN-13: 9780930233068

Famous technical analyst J.D. Hamon finds verified suggestions and robust new thoughts which end up you could win substantial in commodities.

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However, since these decades several global factors have changed dramatically such as geopolitical powershifts, cross-linkage of capital markets, goods markets and even human capital. Accordingly the estimated parameters in the different regimes are disputable. But at least such an asset allocation framework allows 47 The Chinese Investment Corporation clearly has financial and strategic goals, whereas the Norwegian Government Pension Fund – Global (“the petroleum fund”) follows a strictly performance driven strategy.

In some steps several executable tools exist. A main differentiation criterion is often a more qualitative or more quantitative driven approach. In general, most scenario processes are structured in eight steps. 61 Problem analysis 1 External impacts Projection of future 2 3 Determination of the problem Sphere of influence and dependency of action Structuring of field of study Factors of influence Formation of assumptio 4 Projections Consistent bunches Premises/ Descriptors Alternativeassumptions Derivation of implications 7 Potentials Portfolio-allocation Robust steps 5 6 Implications Incidents Patterns of the future Chances/risks Impact analysis Figure 3-2: Steps of a standard scenario approach62 The first step is a clear determination of the topic including a specification of the research area.

New or young asset classes face even more problems in asset allocation. The past experience of only a few months or years cannot provide a sound indication, as the asset class has not shown its characteristics in several states of an economic cycle. This affects more asset classes than one might think. For example data series for emerging market bonds are available from around 1990 or cat bonds from 2001. Additionally, young markets and asset classes have a strong tendency to undergo major changes such as regulatory issues, market size impacts or synergy effects.

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Advanced Commodity Trading Techniques by J.D. Hamon

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